COUNTRY GARDEN Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 1.46

CTRYF -- USA Stock  

USD 1.21  0.00  0.00%

COUNTRY GARDEN probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify COUNTRY GARDEN time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like COUNTRY GARDEN odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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COUNTRY GARDEN Target Price Odds to finish below 1.46

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.46  after 30 days
 1.21 30 days 1.46 
ABOUT 64.89%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of COUNTRY GARDEN to stay under $ 1.46  after 30 days from now is about 64.89% (This COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS LTD probability density function shows the probability of COUNTRY GARDEN OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS price to stay between its current price of $ 1.21  and $ 1.46  at the end of the 30-day period is about 64.1%.
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, COUNTRY GARDEN has beta of 0.0469 . This suggests as returns on market go up, COUNTRY GARDEN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS is significantly underperforming DOW.
 COUNTRY GARDEN Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.28
β
Beta against DOW=0.0469
σ
Overall volatility
=0.09
Ir
Information ratio =0.09

COUNTRY GARDEN Alerts and Suggestions

COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS may become a speculative penny stock
COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
COUNTRY GARDEN HLDGS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

COUNTRY GARDENPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares6.92B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.5k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.7k
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