Cvb Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.39
| CVBF Stock | USD 15.85 0.10 0.63% |
Closest to current price CVB long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
CVB |
CVB Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 20.39
The tendency of CVB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.39 or more in 90 days |
| 15.85 | 90 days | 20.39 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVB Financial to move over $ 20.39 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CVB Financial probability density function shows the probability of CVB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVB Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 15.85 and $ 20.39 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CVB Financial will likely underperform. Additionally CVB Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CVB Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CVB Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CVB Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVB Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVB Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVB Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVB Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
CVB Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVB Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVB Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CVB Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 17th of April 2024 CVB Financial paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CVB Financial Q1 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates - Yahoo Movies UK |
CVB Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CVB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CVB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -171.4 M |
CVB Financial Technical Analysis
CVB Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVB Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CVB Financial Predictive Forecast Models
CVB Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVB Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVB Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CVB Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about CVB Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CVB Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CVB Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 17th of April 2024 CVB Financial paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CVB Financial Q1 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates - Yahoo Movies UK |
Check out CVB Financial Backtesting, CVB Financial Valuation, CVB Financial Correlation, CVB Financial Hype Analysis, CVB Financial Volatility, CVB Financial History as well as CVB Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.Note that the CVB Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CVB Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for CVB Stock analysis
When running CVB Financial's price analysis, check to measure CVB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CVB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CVB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVB Financial. If investors know CVB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 1.59 | Revenue Per Share 3.935 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of CVB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.