Cemex Sab De Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.28

CX Stock  USD 8.85  0.05  0.57%   
Cemex SAB's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Cemex SAB De. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Cemex SAB based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Cemex SAB De over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $9.0 is a CALL option contract on Cemex SAB's common stock with a strick price of 9.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:58:02 for $0.2 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 29.95. View All Cemex options

Closest to current price Cemex long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Cemex SAB's future price is the expected price of Cemex SAB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cemex SAB De performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cemex SAB Backtesting, Cemex SAB Valuation, Cemex SAB Correlation, Cemex SAB Hype Analysis, Cemex SAB Volatility, Cemex SAB History as well as Cemex SAB Performance.
  
Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 13.59 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 61.35 in 2024. Please specify Cemex SAB's target price for which you would like Cemex SAB odds to be computed.

Cemex SAB Target Price Odds to finish over 9.28

The tendency of Cemex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.28  or more in 90 days
 8.85 90 days 9.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cemex SAB to move over $ 9.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cemex SAB De probability density function shows the probability of Cemex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cemex SAB De price to stay between its current price of $ 8.85  and $ 9.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.23 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cemex SAB will likely underperform. Additionally Cemex SAB De has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Cemex SAB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cemex SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cemex SAB De. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cemex SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.678.8411.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.428.5910.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.608.7810.95
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.918.699.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cemex SAB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cemex SAB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cemex SAB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cemex SAB De.

Cemex SAB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cemex SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cemex SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cemex SAB De, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cemex SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0015
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Cemex SAB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cemex SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cemex SAB De can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reports 7.49 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Cemex SAB De has a current ratio of 0.86, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Cemex SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cemex SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cemex SAB De sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cemex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cemex SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
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Cemex SAB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cemex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cemex SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cemex SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments623.9 M

Cemex SAB Technical Analysis

Cemex SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cemex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cemex SAB De. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cemex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cemex SAB Predictive Forecast Models

Cemex SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cemex SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cemex SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cemex SAB De

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cemex SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cemex SAB De help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reports 7.49 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Cemex SAB De has a current ratio of 0.86, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Cemex SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cemex SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cemex SAB De sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cemex to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cemex SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
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When determining whether Cemex SAB De offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cemex SAB's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cemex Sab De Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cemex Sab De Stock:

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When running Cemex SAB's price analysis, check to measure Cemex SAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cemex SAB is operating at the current time. Most of Cemex SAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cemex SAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cemex SAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cemex SAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cemex SAB's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cemex SAB. If investors know Cemex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cemex SAB listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Earnings Share
0.36
Revenue Per Share
11.99
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.09
Return On Assets
0.0492
The market value of Cemex SAB De is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cemex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cemex SAB's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cemex SAB's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cemex SAB's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cemex SAB's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cemex SAB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cemex SAB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cemex SAB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.