China XD Plastics Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.18

CXDCDelisted Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
China XD's future price is the expected price of China XD instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China XD Plastics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
  
Please specify China XD's target price for which you would like China XD odds to be computed.

China XD Target Price Odds to finish below 2.18

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.18  after 90 days
 0 90 days 2.18 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China XD to stay under $ 2.18  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This China XD Plastics probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China XD Plastics price to stay between its current price of $ 0  and $ 2.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 11.73 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, China XD will likely underperform. In addition to that China XD Plastics has an alpha of 3.1184, implying that it can generate a 3.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China XD Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China XD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China XD Plastics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China XD's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China XD. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China XD's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China XD's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China XD Plastics.

China XD Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China XD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China XD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China XD Plastics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China XD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
3.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite11.73
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

China XD Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China XD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China XD Plastics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China XD Plastics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
China XD Plastics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
China XD Plastics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (181.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143.72 M.
China XD Plastics currently holds about 78.26 M in cash with (3.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

China XD Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China XD's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China XD's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments78.3 M
Shares Float35.7 M

China XD Technical Analysis

China XD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China XD Plastics. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China XD Predictive Forecast Models

China XD's time-series forecasting models is one of many China XD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China XD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China XD Plastics

Checking the ongoing alerts about China XD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China XD Plastics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China XD Plastics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
China XD Plastics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
China XD Plastics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (181.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143.72 M.
China XD Plastics currently holds about 78.26 M in cash with (3.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
Note that the China XD Plastics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China XD's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Other Consideration for investing in China Stock

If you are still planning to invest in China XD Plastics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China XD's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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