CYREN Ltd (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

CYRN -- Israel Stock  

ILS 788.00  8.10  1.04%

CYREN Ltd probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of CYREN Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify CYREN Ltd time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like CYREN Ltd odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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CYREN Ltd Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 788.00 30 days 788.00  ABOUT 24.72%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of CYREN Ltd to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 24.72% (This CYREN Ltd probability density function shows the probability of CYREN Ltd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, CYREN Ltd has beta of -0.3276 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding CYREN Ltd are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, CYREN Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. CYREN Ltd is significantly underperforming DOW.
 CYREN Ltd Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.1
β
Beta against DOW=0.33
σ
Overall volatility
=484.16
Ir
Information ratio =0.3

CYREN Ltd Alerts and Suggestions

CYREN Ltd is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
CYREN Ltd generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
CYREN Ltd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported revenue of 35.9M. Net Loss for the year was (19.41M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.9M.
CYREN has accumulated about 17.57M in cash with (11.46M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32.

CYREN LtdPrice Density Drivers

Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day10.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month51.32k
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