Danish Aerospace (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.56

DAC Stock  DKK 3.22  0.18  5.29%   
Danish Aerospace's future price is the expected price of Danish Aerospace instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Danish Aerospace performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Danish Aerospace Backtesting, Danish Aerospace Valuation, Danish Aerospace Correlation, Danish Aerospace Hype Analysis, Danish Aerospace Volatility, Danish Aerospace History as well as Danish Aerospace Performance.
  
Please specify Danish Aerospace's target price for which you would like Danish Aerospace odds to be computed.

Danish Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish below 4.56

The tendency of Danish Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 4.56  after 90 days
 3.22 90 days 4.56 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danish Aerospace to stay under kr 4.56  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Danish Aerospace probability density function shows the probability of Danish Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Danish Aerospace price to stay between its current price of kr 3.22  and kr 4.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Danish Aerospace has a beta of -0.87 suggesting Additionally Danish Aerospace has an alpha of 0.2473, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Danish Aerospace Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Danish Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danish Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Danish Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.228.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.848.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.198.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.113.283.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Danish Aerospace. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Danish Aerospace's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Danish Aerospace's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Danish Aerospace.

Danish Aerospace Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danish Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danish Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danish Aerospace, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danish Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.87
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio 0

Danish Aerospace Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danish Aerospace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danish Aerospace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Danish Aerospace had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Danish Aerospace Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Danish Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Danish Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danish Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 M

Danish Aerospace Technical Analysis

Danish Aerospace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Danish Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Danish Aerospace. In general, you should focus on analyzing Danish Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Danish Aerospace Predictive Forecast Models

Danish Aerospace's time-series forecasting models is one of many Danish Aerospace's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Danish Aerospace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Danish Aerospace

Checking the ongoing alerts about Danish Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Danish Aerospace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Danish Aerospace had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Check out Danish Aerospace Backtesting, Danish Aerospace Valuation, Danish Aerospace Correlation, Danish Aerospace Hype Analysis, Danish Aerospace Volatility, Danish Aerospace History as well as Danish Aerospace Performance.
Note that the Danish Aerospace information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Danish Aerospace's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Danish Stock analysis

When running Danish Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Danish Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danish Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Danish Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danish Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danish Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danish Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Danish Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Danish Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Danish Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.