Deere Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 179.03

DE -- USA Stock  

USD 151.51  7.87  4.94%

Deere probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Deere Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Deere time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Deere odds to be computed. Additionally see Deere Backtesting, Deere Valuation, Deere Correlation, Deere Hype Analysis, Deere Volatility, Deere History as well as Deere Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Deere Target Price Odds to finish over 179.03

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 179.03  or more in 30 days
 151.51 30 days 179.03  NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Deere to move over $ 179.03  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Deere Company probability density function shows the probability of Deere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Deere Company price to stay between its current price of $ 151.51  and $ 179.03  at the end of the 30-day period is about 52.33%.
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, Deere has beta of 0.0 suggesting the returns on DOW and Deere do not appear to be highly-sensitive. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
 Deere Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=10.74
Ir
Information ratio =0.00

Deere Alerts and Suggestions

Deere Company generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Deere Company has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Deere Company has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments
DEERE CO reports about 2.76B in cash with (923.05M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.66.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

DeerePrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.88%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.74
Short Percent Of Float1.87%
Float Shares286.51M
Shares Short Prior Month6.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.79M
Date Short InterestApril 30, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.88%
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