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DFDS AS Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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DFDS -- Denmark Stock  

DKK 139.00  1.00  0.71%

DFDS AS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of DFDS AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
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Please specify DFDS AS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like DFDS AS odds to be computed. Continue to DFDS AS Backtesting, DFDS AS Valuation, DFDS AS Correlation, DFDS AS Hype Analysis, DFDS AS Volatility, DFDS AS History as well as DFDS AS Performance.
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DFDS AS Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 139.00 30 days 139.00 
about 98.0
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of DFDS AS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 98.0 (This DFDS AS probability density function shows the probability of DFDS AS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, DFDS AS has beta of 0.4429 suggesting as returns on market go up, DFDS AS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding DFDS AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. DFDS AS is significantly underperforming DOW.
 DFDS AS Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.95
β
Beta against DOW=0.44
σ
Overall volatility
=60.16
Ir
Information ratio =0.21

DFDS AS Alerts and Suggestions

DFDS AS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
DFDS AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
DFDS AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
On March 19, 2020 DFDS AS paid kr 4.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders

DFDS ASPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.00
Float Shares57.07M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day238.21k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month118.81k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.41%
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