Mfs Diversified Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.08

DIFDX Fund  USD 12.07  0.08  0.67%   
Mfs Diversified's future price is the expected price of Mfs Diversified instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mfs Diversified Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mfs Diversified Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mfs Diversified Correlation, Mfs Diversified Hype Analysis, Mfs Diversified Volatility, Mfs Diversified History as well as Mfs Diversified Performance.
  
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Mfs Diversified Target Price Odds to finish over 14.08

The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.08  or more in 90 days
 12.07 90 days 14.08 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Diversified to move over $ 14.08  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Mfs Diversified Income probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mfs Diversified Income price to stay between its current price of $ 12.07  and $ 14.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Diversified Income has a beta of -0.0243 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mfs Diversified are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Mfs Diversified Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mfs Diversified Income has an alpha of 0.0178, implying that it can generate a 0.0178 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mfs Diversified Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mfs Diversified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Diversified Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs Diversified's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6511.9912.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6211.9612.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5911.9312.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9712.0112.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs Diversified. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs Diversified's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs Diversified's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs Diversified Income.

Mfs Diversified Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Diversified is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Diversified's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Diversified Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Diversified within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

Mfs Diversified Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Diversified for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Diversified Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Mfs Diversified Technical Analysis

Mfs Diversified's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs Diversified Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mfs Diversified Predictive Forecast Models

Mfs Diversified's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs Diversified's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs Diversified's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mfs Diversified Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Diversified for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Diversified Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out Mfs Diversified Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mfs Diversified Correlation, Mfs Diversified Hype Analysis, Mfs Diversified Volatility, Mfs Diversified History as well as Mfs Diversified Performance.
Note that the Mfs Diversified Income information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mfs Diversified's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running Mfs Diversified's price analysis, check to measure Mfs Diversified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mfs Diversified is operating at the current time. Most of Mfs Diversified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mfs Diversified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mfs Diversified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mfs Diversified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs Diversified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs Diversified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs Diversified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.