Dios Fastigheter (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.75

DIOS Stock  SEK 82.70  1.65  2.04%   
Dios Fastigheter's future price is the expected price of Dios Fastigheter instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dios Fastigheter AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dios Fastigheter Backtesting, Dios Fastigheter Valuation, Dios Fastigheter Correlation, Dios Fastigheter Hype Analysis, Dios Fastigheter Volatility, Dios Fastigheter History as well as Dios Fastigheter Performance.
  
Please specify Dios Fastigheter's target price for which you would like Dios Fastigheter odds to be computed.

Dios Fastigheter Target Price Odds to finish below 54.75

The tendency of Dios Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 54.75  or more in 90 days
 82.70 90 days 54.75 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dios Fastigheter to drop to kr 54.75  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dios Fastigheter AB probability density function shows the probability of Dios Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dios Fastigheter price to stay between kr 54.75  and its current price of kr82.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dios Fastigheter has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dios Fastigheter average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dios Fastigheter AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dios Fastigheter AB has an alpha of 0.066, implying that it can generate a 0.066 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dios Fastigheter Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dios Fastigheter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dios Fastigheter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dios Fastigheter's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.1982.7084.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.9981.5083.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.3678.8780.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.2481.3283.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dios Fastigheter. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dios Fastigheter's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dios Fastigheter's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dios Fastigheter.

Dios Fastigheter Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dios Fastigheter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dios Fastigheter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dios Fastigheter AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dios Fastigheter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.28
σ
Overall volatility
3.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Dios Fastigheter Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dios Fastigheter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dios Fastigheter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dios Fastigheter has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 14.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 150.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dios Fastigheter has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dios Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dios Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dios Fastigheter sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dios to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dios Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of Dios Fastigheter shares are held by company insiders

Dios Fastigheter Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dios Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dios Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dios Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Dios Fastigheter Technical Analysis

Dios Fastigheter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dios Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dios Fastigheter AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dios Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dios Fastigheter Predictive Forecast Models

Dios Fastigheter's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dios Fastigheter's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dios Fastigheter's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dios Fastigheter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dios Fastigheter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dios Fastigheter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dios Fastigheter has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 14.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 150.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dios Fastigheter has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dios Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dios Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dios Fastigheter sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dios to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dios Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of Dios Fastigheter shares are held by company insiders
Check out Dios Fastigheter Backtesting, Dios Fastigheter Valuation, Dios Fastigheter Correlation, Dios Fastigheter Hype Analysis, Dios Fastigheter Volatility, Dios Fastigheter History as well as Dios Fastigheter Performance.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Dios Stock analysis

When running Dios Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure Dios Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dios Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of Dios Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dios Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dios Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dios Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dios Fastigheter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dios Fastigheter is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dios Fastigheter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.