Delek Us Energy Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.02

DK Stock  USD 30.74  0.08  0.26%   
Delek US's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Delek US Energy. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Delek US based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Delek US Energy over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $30.0 is a CALL option contract on Delek US's common stock with a strick price of 30.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 15:57:52 for $1.43 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.2, and an ask price of $1.55. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 34.3. View All Delek options

Closest to current price Delek long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Delek US's future price is the expected price of Delek US instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delek US Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delek US Backtesting, Delek US Valuation, Delek US Correlation, Delek US Hype Analysis, Delek US Volatility, Delek US History as well as Delek US Performance.
  
At this time, Delek US's Price Earnings Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is expected to rise to 3.08 this year, although the value of Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio will most likely fall to 1.56. Please specify Delek US's target price for which you would like Delek US odds to be computed.

Delek US Target Price Odds to finish over 34.02

The tendency of Delek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 34.02  or more in 90 days
 30.74 90 days 34.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delek US to move over $ 34.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Delek US Energy probability density function shows the probability of Delek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delek US Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 30.74  and $ 34.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.97 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Delek US has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Delek US Energy market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Delek US is expected to follow. Additionally Delek US Energy has an alpha of 0.137, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Delek US Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delek US

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek US Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delek US's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9130.2632.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7429.0931.44
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3830.0933.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.51-0.170.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delek US. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delek US's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delek US's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delek US Energy.

Delek US Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delek US is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delek US's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delek US Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delek US within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Delek US Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delek US for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delek US Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delek US Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of March 2024 Delek US paid $ 0.245 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Delek US Holdings Up 24.3 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

Delek US Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delek US's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek US's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66 M
Cash And Short Term Investments822.2 M

Delek US Technical Analysis

Delek US's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delek US Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delek US Predictive Forecast Models

Delek US's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delek US's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delek US's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delek US Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delek US for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delek US Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delek US Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of March 2024 Delek US paid $ 0.245 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Delek US Holdings Up 24.3 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue
When determining whether Delek US Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Delek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Delek Us Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Delek Us Energy Stock:

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When running Delek US's price analysis, check to measure Delek US's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek US is operating at the current time. Most of Delek US's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek US's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek US's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek US to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Delek US's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek US. If investors know Delek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delek US listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
18.7
Dividend Share
0.925
Earnings Share
0.3
Revenue Per Share
258.652
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Delek US Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delek US's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delek US's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delek US's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delek US's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek US's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek US is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek US's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.