Delek (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 64470.0

DLEKG Stock  ILS 48,570  1,510  3.21%   
Delek's future price is the expected price of Delek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delek Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delek Backtesting, Delek Valuation, Delek Correlation, Delek Hype Analysis, Delek Volatility, Delek History as well as Delek Performance.
  
Please specify Delek's target price for which you would like Delek odds to be computed.

Delek Target Price Odds to finish over 64470.0

The tendency of Delek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 64,470  or more in 90 days
 48,570 90 days 64,470 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delek to move over S 64,470  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Delek Group probability density function shows the probability of Delek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delek Group price to stay between its current price of S 48,570  and S 64,470  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Delek has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Delek Group market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Delek is expected to follow. Additionally Delek Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Delek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47,14847,15047,152
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43,84743,85051,865
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46,88246,88446,886
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47,13147,19047,249
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delek Group.

Delek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delek Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
1,514
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Delek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delek Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delek Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Delek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.3 M

Delek Technical Analysis

Delek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delek Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delek Predictive Forecast Models

Delek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delek's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delek Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delek Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delek Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Delek Backtesting, Delek Valuation, Delek Correlation, Delek Hype Analysis, Delek Volatility, Delek History as well as Delek Performance.
Note that the Delek Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Delek's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Delek Stock analysis

When running Delek's price analysis, check to measure Delek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delek is operating at the current time. Most of Delek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.