Dodge Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 198.66
| DODGX Fund | USD 246.62 0.26 0.11% |
Dodge |
Dodge Cox Target Price Odds to finish below 198.66
The tendency of Dodge Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 198.66 or more in 90 days |
| 246.62 | 90 days | 198.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dodge Cox to drop to $ 198.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dodge Stock Fund probability density function shows the probability of Dodge Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dodge Stock Fund price to stay between $ 198.66 and its current price of $246.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dodge Cox has a beta of 0.88 suggesting Dodge Stock Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dodge Cox is expected to follow. Additionally Dodge Stock Fund has an alpha of 0.026, implying that it can generate a 0.026 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dodge Cox Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dodge Cox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dodge Stock Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dodge Cox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dodge Cox Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dodge Cox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dodge Cox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dodge Stock Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dodge Cox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Dodge Cox Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dodge Cox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dodge Stock Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 98.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Dodge Cox Technical Analysis
Dodge Cox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dodge Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dodge Stock Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dodge Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dodge Cox Predictive Forecast Models
Dodge Cox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dodge Cox's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dodge Cox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dodge Stock Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dodge Cox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dodge Stock Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 98.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Dodge Cox Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dodge Cox Correlation, Dodge Cox Hype Analysis, Dodge Cox Volatility, Dodge Cox History as well as Dodge Cox Performance. Note that the Dodge Stock Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dodge Cox's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .