Descartes Systems Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.81
| DSGX Stock | USD 94.50 0.40 0.43% |
Closest to current price Descartes long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Descartes |
Descartes Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 39.81
The tendency of Descartes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 39.81 in 90 days |
| 94.50 | 90 days | 39.81 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Descartes Systems to stay above $ 39.81 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Descartes Systems Group probability density function shows the probability of Descartes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Descartes Systems price to stay between $ 39.81 and its current price of $94.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Descartes Systems will likely underperform. Additionally Descartes Systems Group has an alpha of 0.0171, implying that it can generate a 0.0171 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Descartes Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Descartes Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Descartes Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Descartes Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Descartes Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Descartes Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Descartes Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Descartes Systems Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Descartes Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Descartes Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Descartes Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Descartes Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Descartes Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Descartes Acquires Aerospace Software Developments |
Descartes Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Descartes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Descartes Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Descartes Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 319 M |
Descartes Systems Technical Analysis
Descartes Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Descartes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Descartes Systems Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Descartes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Descartes Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Descartes Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Descartes Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Descartes Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Descartes Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Descartes Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Descartes Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Descartes Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Descartes Acquires Aerospace Software Developments |
Check out Descartes Systems Backtesting, Descartes Systems Valuation, Descartes Systems Correlation, Descartes Systems Hype Analysis, Descartes Systems Volatility, Descartes Systems History as well as Descartes Systems Performance. Note that the Descartes Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Descartes Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Descartes Stock analysis
When running Descartes Systems' price analysis, check to measure Descartes Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Descartes Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Descartes Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Descartes Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Descartes Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Descartes Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Descartes Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Descartes Systems. If investors know Descartes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Descartes Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | Earnings Share 1.34 | Revenue Per Share 6.735 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.184 | Return On Assets 0.0737 |
The market value of Descartes Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Descartes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Descartes Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Descartes Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Descartes Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Descartes Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Descartes Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Descartes Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Descartes Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.