Duniec (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19200.00

DUNI Stock  ILS 19,200  300.00  1.59%   
Duniec's future price is the expected price of Duniec instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Duniec performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Duniec Backtesting, Duniec Valuation, Duniec Correlation, Duniec Hype Analysis, Duniec Volatility, Duniec History as well as Duniec Performance.
  
Please specify Duniec's target price for which you would like Duniec odds to be computed.

Duniec Target Price Odds to finish over 19200.00

The tendency of Duniec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19,200 90 days 19,200 
about 58.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duniec to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.12 (This Duniec probability density function shows the probability of Duniec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duniec has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Duniec average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Duniec will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Duniec has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Duniec Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Duniec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duniec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duniec's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19,19819,20019,202
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18,03518,03721,120
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17,82217,82417,826
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18,81919,09319,367
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Duniec. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Duniec's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Duniec's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Duniec.

Duniec Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duniec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duniec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duniec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duniec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.006
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.28
σ
Overall volatility
914.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Duniec Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duniec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duniec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duniec has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Duniec Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duniec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duniec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duniec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.9 M

Duniec Technical Analysis

Duniec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duniec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duniec. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duniec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Duniec Predictive Forecast Models

Duniec's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duniec's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duniec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Duniec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duniec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duniec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duniec has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Duniec Backtesting, Duniec Valuation, Duniec Correlation, Duniec Hype Analysis, Duniec Volatility, Duniec History as well as Duniec Performance.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Duniec Stock analysis

When running Duniec's price analysis, check to measure Duniec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duniec is operating at the current time. Most of Duniec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duniec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duniec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duniec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Duniec's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duniec is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duniec's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.