EBay (Mexico) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 746.57
| EBAY Stock | MXN 841.84 16.99 1.98% |
EBay |
EBay Target Price Odds to finish over 746.57
The tendency of EBay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 746.57 in 90 days |
| 841.84 | 90 days | 746.57 | about 73.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EBay to stay above 746.57 in 90 days from now is about 73.16 (This eBay Inc probability density function shows the probability of EBay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of eBay Inc price to stay between 746.57 and its current price of 841.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EBay has a beta of 0.0249 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EBay average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding eBay Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EBay Inc has an alpha of 0.2304, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EBay Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EBay
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as eBay Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EBay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EBay Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EBay is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EBay's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold eBay Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EBay within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 70.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
EBay Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EBay for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for eBay Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| eBay Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
EBay Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EBay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EBay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EBay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 626 M |
EBay Technical Analysis
EBay's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EBay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of eBay Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing EBay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EBay Predictive Forecast Models
EBay's time-series forecasting models is one of many EBay's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EBay's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about eBay Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about EBay for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for eBay Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| eBay Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out EBay Backtesting, EBay Valuation, EBay Correlation, EBay Hype Analysis, EBay Volatility, EBay History as well as EBay Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for EBay Stock analysis
When running EBay's price analysis, check to measure EBay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EBay is operating at the current time. Most of EBay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EBay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EBay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EBay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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