Eagle Point Credit Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.14

ECCX Stock  USD 24.14  0.06  0.25%   
Eagle Point's future price is the expected price of Eagle Point instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eagle Point Credit performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eagle Point Backtesting, Eagle Point Valuation, Eagle Point Correlation, Eagle Point Hype Analysis, Eagle Point Volatility, Eagle Point History as well as Eagle Point Performance.
  
At this time, Eagle Point's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 5.64 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.03). Please specify Eagle Point's target price for which you would like Eagle Point odds to be computed.

Eagle Point Target Price Odds to finish over 24.14

The tendency of Eagle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.14 90 days 24.14 
about 68.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eagle Point to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.38 (This Eagle Point Credit probability density function shows the probability of Eagle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Eagle Point Credit has a beta of -0.0286 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eagle Point are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eagle Point Credit is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eagle Point Credit has an alpha of 0.0049, implying that it can generate a 0.004863 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eagle Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eagle Point

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Point Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6024.1424.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1923.7324.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eagle Point. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eagle Point's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eagle Point's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eagle Point Credit.

Eagle Point Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eagle Point is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eagle Point's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eagle Point Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eagle Point within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Eagle Point Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eagle Point for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eagle Point Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eagle Point Credit is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Eagle Point Credit currently holds about 19.69 M in cash with (61.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92.
Eagle Point Credit has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 1st of April 2024 Eagle Point paid $ 0.418 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Eagle Point Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eagle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eagle Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eagle Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.098

Eagle Point Technical Analysis

Eagle Point's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eagle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eagle Point Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eagle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eagle Point Predictive Forecast Models

Eagle Point's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eagle Point's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eagle Point's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eagle Point Credit

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eagle Point for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eagle Point Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eagle Point Credit is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Eagle Point Credit currently holds about 19.69 M in cash with (61.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92.
Eagle Point Credit has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 1st of April 2024 Eagle Point paid $ 0.418 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether Eagle Point Credit is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eagle Point's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eagle Point's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eagle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Eagle Point Backtesting, Eagle Point Valuation, Eagle Point Correlation, Eagle Point Hype Analysis, Eagle Point Volatility, Eagle Point History as well as Eagle Point Performance.
Note that the Eagle Point Credit information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eagle Point's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Eagle Stock analysis

When running Eagle Point's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Point is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eagle Point's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eagle Point. If investors know Eagle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eagle Point listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
2.4
The market value of Eagle Point Credit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eagle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eagle Point's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eagle Point's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eagle Point's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eagle Point's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eagle Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eagle Point is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eagle Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.