ELECTRONIC CONTROL Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

EKCS -- USA Stock  

USD 0.07  0.002  2.78%

ELECTRONIC CONTROL probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify ELECTRONIC CONTROL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ELECTRONIC CONTROL odds to be computed. Additionally see ELECTRONIC CONTROL Backtesting, ELECTRONIC CONTROL Valuation, ELECTRONIC CONTROL Correlation, ELECTRONIC CONTROL Hype Analysis, ELECTRONIC CONTROL Volatility, ELECTRONIC CONTROL History as well as ELECTRONIC CONTROL Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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ELECTRONIC CONTROL Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 0.07 30 days 0.07 
about 24.35
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of ELECTRONIC CONTROL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 24.35 (This ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC probability density function shows the probability of ELECTRONIC CONTROL OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC has beta of -0.0192 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding ELECTRONIC CONTROL are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, ELECTRONIC CONTROL SECURITY INC is likely to outperform the market. Moreover The company has an alpha of 1.2953 implying that it can potentially generate 1.2953% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 ELECTRONIC CONTROL Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.30
β
Beta against DOW=0.02
σ
Overall volatility
=0.010115
Ir
Information ratio =0.1

ELECTRONIC CONTROL Alerts and Suggestions

ELECTRONIC CONTROL appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
ELECTRONIC CONTROL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ELECTRONIC CONTROL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
ELECTRONIC CONTROL has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported previous year revenue of 656.13 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.15 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (113.48 K).
ELECTRONIC CTL SE currently holds about 692 in cash with (679.89 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from mesaweekly.com: Kratos Defense Security Solutions Inc. s Financial Results Comparing With CompX International Inc. - MS Wkly

ELECTRONIC CONTROLPrice Density Drivers

Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.28k
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