Electra Real (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1301.3

ELCRE Stock  ILS 3,870  85.00  2.25%   
Electra Real's future price is the expected price of Electra Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Electra Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Electra Real Backtesting, Electra Real Valuation, Electra Real Correlation, Electra Real Hype Analysis, Electra Real Volatility, Electra Real History as well as Electra Real Performance.
  
Please specify Electra Real's target price for which you would like Electra Real odds to be computed.

Electra Real Target Price Odds to finish over 1301.3

The tendency of Electra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above S 1,301  in 90 days
 3,870 90 days 1,301 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electra Real to stay above S 1,301  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Electra Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Electra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electra Real Estate price to stay between S 1,301  and its current price of S3870.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electra Real has a beta of 0.76 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Electra Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electra Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electra Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Electra Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Electra Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electra Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electra Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,8683,8703,872
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8553,8584,257
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,0514,0544,056
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,7293,8123,894
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Electra Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Electra Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Electra Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Electra Real Estate.

Electra Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electra Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electra Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electra Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electra Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.76
σ
Overall volatility
195.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Electra Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electra Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electra Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electra Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Electra Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 424.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 130.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Electra Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Electra Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Electra Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Electra Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Electra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Electra Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of Electra Real shares are held by company insiders

Electra Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electra Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electra Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.9 M

Electra Real Technical Analysis

Electra Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electra Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Electra Real Predictive Forecast Models

Electra Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electra Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electra Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Electra Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Electra Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electra Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electra Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Electra Real Estate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 424.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 130.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Electra Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Electra Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Electra Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Electra Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Electra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Electra Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of Electra Real shares are held by company insiders
Check out Electra Real Backtesting, Electra Real Valuation, Electra Real Correlation, Electra Real Hype Analysis, Electra Real Volatility, Electra Real History as well as Electra Real Performance.
Note that the Electra Real Estate information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Electra Real's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Electra Stock analysis

When running Electra Real's price analysis, check to measure Electra Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electra Real is operating at the current time. Most of Electra Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electra Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electra Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electra Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Electra Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electra Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electra Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.