Invesco Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 5.78
EMLDX Fund | USD 5.43 0.02 0.37% |
Invesco |
Invesco Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 5.78
The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 5.78 after 90 days |
5.43 | 90 days | 5.78 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Emerging to stay under $ 5.78 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Invesco Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Emerging Markets price to stay between its current price of $ 5.43 and $ 5.78 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Emerging has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Invesco Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Emerging Markets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. Invesco Emerging Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Invesco Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Invesco Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
Invesco Emerging Markets retains about 8.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Invesco Emerging Technical Analysis
Invesco Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Emerging Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
Invesco Emerging Markets retains about 8.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Invesco Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Emerging Correlation, Invesco Emerging Hype Analysis, Invesco Emerging Volatility, Invesco Emerging History as well as Invesco Emerging Performance. Note that the Invesco Emerging Markets information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Emerging's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Invesco Mutual Fund analysis
When running Invesco Emerging's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Emerging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Emerging is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Emerging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Emerging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Emerging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Emerging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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