SOUR MSCI (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    EMSV -- Germany ETF  

    EUR 197.30  1.70  0.87%

    SOUR MSCI probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify SOUR MSCI time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SOUR MSCI odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    SOUR MSCI Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     197.30 30 days 197.30  CLOSE TO 99%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SOUR MSCI to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC probability density function shows the probability of SOUR MSCI ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC has beta of -0.0363 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding SOUR MSCI are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. SOUR MSCI EUR is significantly underperforming DOW.
     SOUR MSCI Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.22
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.36
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.4

    SOUR MSCI Alerts

    SOUR MSCI Alerts and Suggestions

    SOUR MSCI EUR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

    Price Density Drivers

    SOUR MSCI Health Indicators

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