SOUR MSCI (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    EMSV -- Germany ETF  

    EUR 197.30  1.70  0.87%

    SOUR MSCI probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify SOUR MSCI time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like SOUR MSCI odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    SOUR MSCI Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     197.30 30 days 197.30  CLOSE TO 99%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SOUR MSCI to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC probability density function shows the probability of SOUR MSCI ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC has beta of -0.0363 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding SOUR MSCI are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, SOUR MSCI EUR A ACC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. SOUR MSCI EUR is significantly underperforming DOW.
     SOUR MSCI Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.4

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    SOUR MSCI EUR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

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