Enel Chile Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.47
ENIC Stock | USD 2.92 0.02 0.69% |
Closest to current price Enel long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Enel |
Enel Chile Target Price Odds to finish below 4.47
The tendency of Enel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.47 after 90 days |
2.92 | 90 days | 4.47 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enel Chile to stay under $ 4.47 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Enel Chile SA probability density function shows the probability of Enel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enel Chile SA price to stay between its current price of $ 2.92 and $ 4.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Enel Chile SA has a beta of -0.0618 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Enel Chile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Enel Chile SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Enel Chile SA has an alpha of 0.0738, implying that it can generate a 0.0738 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Enel Chile Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Enel Chile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enel Chile SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enel Chile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Enel Chile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enel Chile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enel Chile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enel Chile SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enel Chile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Enel Chile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enel Chile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enel Chile SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company currently holds 3.97 T in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Enel Chile SA has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Enel Chile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Enel Chile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Enel Chile SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Enel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Enel Chile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Enel Chile Shares Cross Below 50 Day Moving Average of 2.94 - MarketBeat |
Enel Chile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enel Chile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enel Chile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 631 B |
Enel Chile Technical Analysis
Enel Chile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enel Chile SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Enel Chile Predictive Forecast Models
Enel Chile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enel Chile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enel Chile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Enel Chile SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Enel Chile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enel Chile SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 3.97 T in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Enel Chile SA has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Enel Chile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Enel Chile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Enel Chile SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Enel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Enel Chile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Enel Chile Shares Cross Below 50 Day Moving Average of 2.94 - MarketBeat |
Check out Enel Chile Backtesting, Enel Chile Valuation, Enel Chile Correlation, Enel Chile Hype Analysis, Enel Chile Volatility, Enel Chile History as well as Enel Chile Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
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When running Enel Chile's price analysis, check to measure Enel Chile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enel Chile is operating at the current time. Most of Enel Chile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enel Chile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enel Chile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enel Chile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Enel Chile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enel Chile. If investors know Enel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enel Chile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share 3.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0388 |
The market value of Enel Chile SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enel Chile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enel Chile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enel Chile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enel Chile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enel Chile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enel Chile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enel Chile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.