Equital (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8,753
| EQTL Stock | 10,200 80.00 0.78% |
Equital |
Equital Target Price Odds to finish below 8,753
The tendency of Equital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 10,200 | 90 days | 10,200 | about 7.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equital to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 7.16 (This Equital probability density function shows the probability of Equital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Equital has a beta of 0.58 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Equital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Equital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Equital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Equital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 578.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Equital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Equital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Equital has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Equital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.9 M |
Equital Technical Analysis
Equital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Equital Predictive Forecast Models
Equital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Equital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Equital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Equital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Equital has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Equital Backtesting, Equital Valuation, Equital Correlation, Equital Hype Analysis, Equital Volatility, Equital History as well as Equital Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Equital Stock analysis
When running Equital's price analysis, check to measure Equital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equital is operating at the current time. Most of Equital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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