American Green Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0406
| ERBB Stock | USD 0.0004 0.0002 33.33% |
American |
American Green Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0406
The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.04 after 90 days |
| 0.0004 | 90 days | 0.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Green to stay under $ 0.04 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This American Green probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Green price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0004 and $ 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Green has a beta of -4.36 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding American Green are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, American Green is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that American Green has an alpha of 6.6428, implying that it can generate a 6.64 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Green Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Green
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Green's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Green Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Green, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 6.64 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -4.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0002 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
American Green Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Green for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Green can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Green is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Green appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 686.28 K in liabilities. American Green has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Green until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Green's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Green sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Green's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 39.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.63 K. | |
| American Green currently holds about 1.76 K in cash with (1.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
American Green Technical Analysis
American Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Green. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Green Predictive Forecast Models
American Green's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Green's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Green's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Green
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Green for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Green help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Green is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Green appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 686.28 K in liabilities. American Green has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Green until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Green's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Green sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Green's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 39.34 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.63 K. | |
| American Green currently holds about 1.76 K in cash with (1.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Check out American Green Backtesting, American Green Valuation, American Green Correlation, American Green Hype Analysis, American Green Volatility, American Green History as well as American Green Performance. Note that the American Green information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Green's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for American Pink Sheet analysis
When running American Green's price analysis, check to measure American Green's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Green is operating at the current time. Most of American Green's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Green's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Green's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Green to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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