Evaluator Moderate Rms Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.37
| EVFMX Fund | USD 10.19 0.07 0.69% |
Evaluator |
Evaluator Moderate Target Price Odds to finish over 11.37
The tendency of Evaluator Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.37 or more in 90 days |
| 10.19 | 90 days | 11.37 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Evaluator Moderate to move over $ 11.37 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Evaluator Moderate Rms probability density function shows the probability of Evaluator Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Evaluator Moderate Rms price to stay between its current price of $ 10.19 and $ 11.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Evaluator Moderate has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Evaluator Moderate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Evaluator Moderate Rms will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Evaluator Moderate Rms has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Evaluator Moderate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Evaluator Moderate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evaluator Moderate Rms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evaluator Moderate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Evaluator Moderate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Evaluator Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Evaluator Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Evaluator Moderate Rms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Evaluator Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Evaluator Moderate Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Evaluator Moderate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Evaluator Moderate Rms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 6.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Evaluator Moderate Technical Analysis
Evaluator Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Evaluator Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Evaluator Moderate Rms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Evaluator Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Evaluator Moderate Predictive Forecast Models
Evaluator Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Evaluator Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Evaluator Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Evaluator Moderate Rms
Checking the ongoing alerts about Evaluator Moderate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Evaluator Moderate Rms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 6.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Evaluator Moderate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Evaluator Moderate Correlation, Evaluator Moderate Hype Analysis, Evaluator Moderate Volatility, Evaluator Moderate History as well as Evaluator Moderate Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.