Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Please check Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 8.10 30 days 8.10 
close to 99
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99 (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.1948 suggesting as returns on market go up, Ford Motor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ford Motor is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.19
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.15

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On January 29, 2020 Ford Motor paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Nair Sankar S of 24478 shares of Ford Motor subject to Rule 16b-3

Ford MotorPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.84%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.17%
Float Shares3.89B
Shares Short Prior Month104.2M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day86.3M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month48.33M
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.27%