|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move over $ 20.00 or more in 30 days|
| 9.80 ||30 days|| 20.00 || NEAR 1%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move over $ 20.00 or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between its current price of $ 9.80 and $ 20.00 at the end of the 30-day period is about 29.5%.
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.0322 suggesting as returns on market go up, Ford Motor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ford Motor Company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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