Aviva Sustainable (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F000000FRY -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 2,563  42.00  1.61%

    Aviva Sustainable probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aviva Sustainable Future UK Growth Int performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aviva Sustainable time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aviva Sustainable odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aviva Sustainable Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     2,563 30 days 2,563  ABOUT 13.06%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aviva Sustainable to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 13.06% (This Aviva Sustainable Future UK Growth Int probability density function shows the probability of Aviva Sustainable Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aviva Sustainable Future UK Growth Int has beta of -1210.7018 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Aviva Sustainable Future UK Growth Int are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Aviva Sustainable is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Aviva Sustainable Future UK Growth Int has an alpha of 248.901 implying that it can potentially generate 248.901% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Aviva Sustainable Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =248.90
    β
    Beta against DOW=1,211
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =1,362
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.21

    Aviva Sustainable Alerts

    Aviva Sustainable Alerts and Suggestions

    Aviva Sustainable is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Aviva Sustainable generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Aviva Sustainable has high historical volatility and very poor performance
    The fund retains 92.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Aviva Sustainable Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Reporting module to create custom reports across your portfolios and generate quick suggestion pitch.
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