|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 13.73 ||30 days|| 13.73 || ABOUT 30.35%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediolanum to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.35% (This Mediolanum Ch Provident 3 probability density function shows the probability of Mediolanum Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Mediolanum Ch Provident 3 has beta of -0.022 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mediolanum are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Mediolanum Ch Provident 3 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mediolanum Ch Provident 3 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW