Mediolanum (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F000001AAY -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 17.43  0.22  1.25%

    Mediolanum probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Mediolanum BB MS Glbl Sel S A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Mediolanum time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mediolanum odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Mediolanum Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     17.43 30 days 17.43  ABOUT 34.67%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediolanum to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 34.67% (This Mediolanum BB MS Glbl Sel S A probability density function shows the probability of Mediolanum Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Mediolanum BB MS Glbl Sel S A has beta of -0.1674 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mediolanum are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Mediolanum BB MS Glbl Sel S A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mediolanum BB MS Glbl Sel S A has an alpha of 0.2769 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2769% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Mediolanum Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.28
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.17
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.57
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.38

    Mediolanum Alerts

    Mediolanum Alerts and Suggestions

    Mediolanum BB MS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 17.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Mediolanum Health Indicators

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