Legg Mason (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0000020NB -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 76.45  0.70  0.92%

    Legg Mason probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Legg Mason QS Emerging Makts Eq C Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Legg Mason time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Legg Mason odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Legg Mason Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     76.45 30 days 76.45  ABOUT 22.8%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Legg Mason to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.8% (This Legg Mason QS Emerging Makts Eq C Acc probability density function shows the probability of Legg Mason Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Legg Mason has beta of 0.2594 suggesting as returns on market go up, Legg Mason average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Legg Mason QS Emerging Makts Eq C Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Legg Mason QS Emerging Makts Eq C Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Legg Mason Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.21
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.26
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =39.84
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.21

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    The fund retains 98.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
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