Delaware Inv (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0000020WU -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 10.67  0.48  4.30%

    Delaware Inv probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Delaware Inv Global Value F USD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Delaware Inv time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Delaware Inv odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Delaware Inv Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.67 30 days 10.67  ABOUT 20.72%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Delaware Inv to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.72% (This Delaware Inv Global Value F USD probability density function shows the probability of Delaware Inv Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Delaware Inv has beta of 0.2044 suggesting as returns on market go up, Delaware Inv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Delaware Inv Global Value F USD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Delaware Inv Global Value F USD has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Delaware Inv Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.11
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.20
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.95
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.027165

    Delaware Inv Alerts

    Delaware Inv Alerts and Suggestions

    Delaware Inv Global is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Delaware Inv Global generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 96.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Delaware Inv Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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