Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F000002QJ0 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 22.77  0.12  0.53%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital Japan R USD Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     22.77 30 days 22.77  ABOUT 22.16%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.16% (This Polar Capital Japan R USD Hdg probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital Japan R USD Hdg has beta of -0.0509 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Polar Capital are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Polar Capital Japan R USD Hdg is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0232 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0232% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Polar Capital Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.03

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital Japan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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