Vanguard Glb (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F000003VEB -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 13,103  8.00  0.06%

    Vanguard Glb probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vanguard Glb Bd Idx GBP Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Vanguard Glb time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard Glb odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Vanguard Glb Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13,103 30 days 13,103  ABOUT 23.04%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Glb to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.04% (This Vanguard Glb Bd Idx GBP Hdg probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Glb Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard Glb Bd Idx GBP Hdg has beta of -0.0168 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard Glb are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Vanguard Glb Bd Idx GBP Hdg is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard Glb Bd Idx GBP Hdg has an alpha of 0.0021 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0021% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Vanguard Glb Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.002087
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =6,593
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.97

    Vanguard Glb Alerts

    Vanguard Glb Alerts and Suggestions

    Vanguard Glb Bd generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 95.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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