Aegon Intl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0000040TP -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 201.00  2.00  0.99%

    Aegon Intl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aegon Intl Schroder European Op B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aegon Intl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aegon Intl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aegon Intl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     201.00 30 days 201.00  ABOUT 31.04%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon Intl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.04% (This Aegon Intl Schroder European Op B probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Intl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aegon Intl Schroder European Op B has beta of -0.2227 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Aegon Intl are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Aegon Intl Schroder European Op B is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aegon Intl Schroder European Op B has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Aegon Intl Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.03
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.22
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =85.90
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.11

    Aegon Intl Alerts

    Aegon Intl Alerts and Suggestions

    Aegon Intl Schroder is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 97.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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