Aegon Intl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0000040Y3 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 159.00  0.00  0.00%

    Aegon Intl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aegon Intl MG Property Ptfl A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aegon Intl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aegon Intl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aegon Intl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     159.00 30 days 159.00  UNDER 4%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon Intl to move above current price in 30 days from now is under 4% (This Aegon Intl MG Property Ptfl A probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Intl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aegon Intl has beta of 0.0429 suggesting as returns on market go up, Aegon Intl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aegon Intl MG Property Ptfl A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aegon Intl MG Property Ptfl A has an alpha of 0.0428 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0428% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Aegon Intl Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.042836
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0429
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =69.02
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.33

    Aegon Intl Alerts

    Aegon Intl Alerts and Suggestions

    Aegon Intl MG is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 8.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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