Aegon Intl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F000005HSG -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1.68  0.00272  0.16%

    Aegon Intl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aegon Intl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aegon Intl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aegon Intl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.68 30 days 1.68  ABOUT 88.99%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon Intl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 88.99% (This Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Intl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aegon Intl has beta of 0.1994 suggesting as returns on market go up, Aegon Intl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0976 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0976% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Aegon Intl Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.1
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.20
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =86.40
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.06

    Aegon Intl Alerts

    Aegon Intl Alerts and Suggestions

    Aegon Intl is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Aegon Intl may become a speculative penny stock
    The fund retains 98.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Aegon Intl Health Indicators

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