Aegon Intl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F000005HSG -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 175.00  0.00  0.00%

    Aegon Intl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aegon Intl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aegon Intl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aegon Intl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     175.00 30 days 175.00  ABOUT 1.68%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon Intl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 1.68% (This Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Intl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A has beta of -0.0815 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Aegon Intl are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aegon Intl Continental Euro Eq Tracker A has an alpha of 0.025 implying that it can potentially generate 0.025% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Aegon Intl Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.025023
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.08
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =67.70
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.7

    Aegon Intl Alerts

    Aegon Intl Alerts and Suggestions

    The fund retains 98.87% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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