Aegon Intl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F000005OWT -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 230.00  1.00  0.44%

    Aegon Intl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Aegon Intl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aegon Intl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Aegon Intl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     230.00 30 days 230.00  ABOUT 16.46%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon Intl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.46% (This Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Intl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B has beta of -0.0227 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Aegon Intl are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Aegon Intl Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.0076
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =118.98
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.29

    Aegon Intl Alerts

    Aegon Intl Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains about 14.57% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

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