|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 227.00 ||30 days|| 227.00 || ABOUT 16.82%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Aegon Intl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.82% (This Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B probability density function shows the probability of Aegon Intl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aegon Intl has beta of 0.0861 suggesting as returns on market go up, Aegon Intl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aegon Intl 8020 Defens Mgd Collection B has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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