Kotak OM (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000H4Q4 -- India Fund  

    INR 18.32  0.07  0.38%

    Kotak OM probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Kotak OM Life Peak Guarantee I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Kotak OM time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kotak OM odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Kotak OM Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     18.32 30 days 18.32  ABOUT 25.42%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Kotak OM to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.42% (This Kotak OM Life Peak Guarantee I probability density function shows the probability of Kotak OM Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Kotak OM has beta of 0.1051 suggesting as returns on market go up, Kotak OM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Kotak OM Life Peak Guarantee I will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kotak OM Life Peak Guarantee I has an alpha of 0.0722 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0722% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Kotak OM Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.07
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.11
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =8.71
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.18

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    The fund retains about 23.39% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 stocks, funds, and etfs against different fundamentals.
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