Wellington Oppoc (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000H5KU -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 16.72  0.06  0.36%

    Wellington Oppoc probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Wellington Oppoc Emerg Mkt Dbt performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Wellington Oppoc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Wellington Oppoc odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Wellington Oppoc Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     16.72 30 days 16.72  ABOUT 43.28%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Wellington Oppoc to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 43.28% (This Wellington Oppoc Emerg Mkt Dbt probability density function shows the probability of Wellington Oppoc Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Wellington Oppoc has beta of 0.1149 suggesting as returns on market go up, Wellington Oppoc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Wellington Oppoc Emerg Mkt Dbt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Wellington Oppoc Emerg is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Wellington Oppoc Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.17
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.11
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.73
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.18

    Wellington Oppoc Alerts and Suggestions

    Wellington Oppoc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Wellington Oppoc generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 23.15% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Wellington OppocPrice Density Drivers

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