Sahara Life (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000H6AE -- India Fund  

    INR 21.28  0.03  0.14%

    Sahara Life probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Sahara Life Secured Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Sahara Life time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sahara Life odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Sahara Life Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     21.28 30 days 21.28  ABOUT 25.77%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Sahara Life to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.77% (This Sahara Life Secured Fund probability density function shows the probability of Sahara Life Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Sahara Life has beta of 0.3399 suggesting as returns on market go up, Sahara Life average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Sahara Life Secured Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sahara Life Secured Fund has an alpha of 0.1386 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1386% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Sahara Life Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.14
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.34
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =9.48
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.13

    Sahara Life Alerts

    Sahara Life Alerts and Suggestions

    Sahara Life Secured generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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