BlackRock ICS (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000MI6B -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 101.84  0.01  0.0098%

    BlackRock ICS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of BlackRock ICS US Treasury Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify BlackRock ICS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BlackRock ICS odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    BlackRock ICS Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     101.84 30 days 101.84  ABOUT 23.28%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock ICS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.28% (This BlackRock ICS US Treasury Acc probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock ICS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, BlackRock ICS US Treasury Acc has beta of -0.0163 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding BlackRock ICS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, BlackRock ICS US Treasury Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BlackRock ICS US Treasury Acc has an alpha of 0.0315 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0315% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     BlackRock ICS Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.031545
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =52.57
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.35

    BlackRock ICS Alerts

    BlackRock ICS Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.