Lazard EM (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000MKGQ -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 97.80  0.00  0.00%

    Lazard EM probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Lazard EM TotRet Dbt Retl EUR Hdg Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Lazard EM time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lazard EM odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Lazard EM Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     97.80 30 days 97.80  ABOUT 22.05%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Lazard EM to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.05% (This Lazard EM TotRet Dbt Retl EUR Hdg Acc probability density function shows the probability of Lazard EM Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Lazard EM has beta of 0.2642 suggesting as returns on market go up, Lazard EM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Lazard EM TotRet Dbt Retl EUR Hdg Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lazard EM TotRet Dbt Retl EUR Hdg Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Lazard EM Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.44
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.26
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =51.96
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.39

    Lazard EM Alerts

    Lazard EM Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains about 19.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.