Odey Giano (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000NDFW -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 13,649  6.00  0.044%

    Odey Giano probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Odey Giano European GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Odey Giano time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Odey Giano odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Odey Giano Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13,649 30 days 13,649  ABOUT 29.95%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Odey Giano to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 29.95% (This Odey Giano European GBP probability density function shows the probability of Odey Giano Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Odey Giano European GBP has beta of -0.0215 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Odey Giano are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Odey Giano European GBP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Odey Giano European GBP has an alpha of 0.2071 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2071% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Odey Giano Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.21
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5,962
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.84

    Odey Giano Alerts

    Odey Giano Alerts and Suggestions

    Odey Giano European is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 54.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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