Legg Mason (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000NE4W -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 124.04  0.15  0.12%

    Legg Mason probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Legg Mason BW Glb Fxd Inc Prem Acc HgAH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Legg Mason time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Legg Mason odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Refresh Odds

    Legg Mason Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     124.04 30 days 124.04  ABOUT 32.19%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Legg Mason to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 32.19% (This Legg Mason BW Glb Fxd Inc Prem Acc HgAH probability density function shows the probability of Legg Mason Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Legg Mason has beta of 0.0469 suggesting as returns on market go up, Legg Mason average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Legg Mason BW Glb Fxd Inc Prem Acc HgAH will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Legg Mason BW is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Legg Mason Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.0469
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.41

    Legg Mason Alerts and Suggestions

    Legg Mason BW is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Legg Mason BW generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 53.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Search macroaxis.com