Babson Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000NNCI -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 111.70  0.00  0.00%

    Babson Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Babson Capital Global Loan D USD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Babson Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Babson Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Babson Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     111.70 30 days 111.70  ABOUT 27.21%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Babson Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.21% (This Babson Capital Global Loan D USD probability density function shows the probability of Babson Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Babson Capital has beta of 0.0308 suggesting as returns on market go up, Babson Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Babson Capital Global Loan D USD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Babson Capital Global Loan D USD has an alpha of 0.0603 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0603% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Babson Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.06
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0308
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =50.58
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.58

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