Babson Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000NNCI -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 111.43  0.14  0.13%

    Babson Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Babson Capital Global Loan D USD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Babson Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Babson Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Babson Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     111.43 30 days 111.43  ABOUT 21.76%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Babson Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 21.76% (This Babson Capital Global Loan D USD probability density function shows the probability of Babson Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Babson Capital Global Loan D USD has beta of -0.0141 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Babson Capital are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Babson Capital Global Loan D USD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Babson Capital Global Loan D USD has an alpha of 0.0035 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0035% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Babson Capital Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.003511
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.01
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =55.84
    Ir
    Information ratio =4.8

    Current Sentiment - F00000NNCI

    Babson Capital Global Investor Sentiment

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    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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