BNP Paribas (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000NS2I -- India Fund  

    INR 10.02  0.01  0.1%

    BNP Paribas probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of BNP Paribas ST Income Qt Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify BNP Paribas time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BNP Paribas odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    BNP Paribas Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.02 30 days 10.02  ROUGHLY 97.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of BNP Paribas to move above current price in 30 days from now is roughly 97.0% (This BNP Paribas ST Income Qt Div probability density function shows the probability of BNP Paribas Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, BNP Paribas has beta of 0.0507 suggesting as returns on market go up, BNP Paribas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding BNP Paribas ST Income Qt Div will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BNP Paribas ST Income Qt Div has an alpha of 0.0041 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0041% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     BNP Paribas Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.004059
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.042338
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.30

    BNP Paribas Alerts

    BNP Paribas Alerts and Suggestions

    BNP Paribas ST is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 53.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    BNP Paribas Health Indicators

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