Oasis Crescent (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000OE8I -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 2,299  44.00  1.88%

    Oasis Crescent probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Oasis Crescent time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oasis Crescent odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Oasis Crescent Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     2,299 30 days 2,299  ABOUT 26.86%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Oasis Crescent to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.86% (This Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP probability density function shows the probability of Oasis Crescent Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Oasis Crescent has beta of 0.2129 suggesting as returns on market go up, Oasis Crescent average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP has an alpha of 0.3115 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3115% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Oasis Crescent Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.31
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.21
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =1,102
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.32

    Oasis Crescent Alerts

    Oasis Crescent Alerts and Suggestions

    Oasis Crescent is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 5.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
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