Oasis Crescent (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000OE8I -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 2,416  13.00  0.54%

    Oasis Crescent probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Oasis Crescent time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oasis Crescent odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Oasis Crescent Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     2,416 30 days 2,416  ABOUT 20.42%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Oasis Crescent to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.42% (This Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP probability density function shows the probability of Oasis Crescent Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP has beta of -0.1914 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Oasis Crescent are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oasis Crescent Global Equity E GBP has an alpha of 0.3109 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3109% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Oasis Crescent Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.31
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.19
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =1,141
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.35

    Oasis Crescent Alerts

    Oasis Crescent Alerts and Suggestions

    Oasis Crescent is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 5.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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