Wellington Strategic (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000OWPF -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 11.08  0.14  1.28%

    Wellington Strategic probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Wellington Strategic Eurp Eq N USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Wellington Strategic time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Wellington Strategic odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Wellington Strategic Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.08 30 days 11.08  ABOUT 45.94%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Wellington Strategic to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 45.94% (This Wellington Strategic Eurp Eq N USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of Wellington Strategic Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Wellington Strategic has beta of 0.1862 suggesting as returns on market go up, Wellington Strategic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Wellington Strategic Eurp Eq N USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wellington Strategic Eurp Eq N USD Acc has an alpha of 0.1155 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1155% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Wellington Strategic Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.12
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.19
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.04
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.19

    Wellington Strategic Alerts

    Wellington Strategic Alerts and Suggestions

    Wellington Strategic is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 98.45% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Wellington Strategic Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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