FC Real (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000P8GT -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 11.57  0.02  0.17%

    FC Real probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of FC Real Estate Equity LS A EUR Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify FC Real time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FC Real odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    FC Real Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.57 30 days 11.57  ABOUT 23.37%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of FC Real to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.37% (This FC Real Estate Equity LS A EUR Acc probability density function shows the probability of FC Real Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, FC Real Estate Equity LS A EUR Acc has beta of -0.0396 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding FC Real are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, FC Real Estate Equity LS A EUR Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FC Real Estate Equity LS A EUR Acc has an alpha of 0.0338 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0338% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     FC Real Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.033845
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.73
    Ir
    Information ratio =1.88

    FC Real Alerts

    FC Real Alerts and Suggestions

    The fund retains about 78.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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